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conditional formatting, 90 91, 176 177 Contacts component (Outlook), 187, 192 193, 202 conversations, viewing, 204 205 Copy button, 25 copying data, 25 formats, 54 worksheets, 102 Corrections button, 34 cropping, 32 33 Custom Margins button, 53 Cut button, 25 cutting and pasting data, 25

(11.121)

+ r)

FIGURE 7.26 When a price breaks through a descending trendline, the change in direction can be fast and powerful.

(1 - r) Y,

----/T;-1~SIOpe = %

---"IoL-

Fig. 11.16 Graphical solution of (11.122).

Thus when H = 0 half the particles have spin up, and the other half spin down. When H> 0 the balance shifts in favor of spin up. From (11.112) and (11.121) we obtain, for absolute zero,

(11.122)

For 0 < kT f F and /L f F we can solve (11.119) by expanding the left side in powers of r, and we obtain

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,~ 3~:: [1 -;;

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The real power of this is shown in Figure 7.27, which is a much longerrange view of the same security. What was shown in Figure 7.26 was only the rightmost portion of this graph. The push above the resistance line was very signi cant, because resistance went back for years. This signal would have provided an excellent indication that the trend had reversed and would have provided a great opportunity to take advantage of the big upsurge in the NASDAQ market in 2003 and 2004. As usual, the trend reversal didn t pinpoint the exact bottom, but it certainly allowed for tremendous pro t opportunity in spite of the market s modest rise that had already taken place. A similar graph, with extremely dramatic positive results, is Primus Telecommunications Group (Figure 7.28). The stock had suffered a terrible downtrend, dropping from $52 to the realm of penny stocks. You can see here that prices nally pushed above resistance. But note this well: prices continued to drop. If you had bought this stock, you may have been disappointed that trendlines don t work so well after all.

X- 3f.L~ [-1 _

(11.123)

( kT)2]

f F)

we use (11.12):

N"A )

3 A (1+r)]

[A3(1-r)]

The seasoned chartist, however, would be watching the trendline closely, even after it had been crossed. Because the trendline now represented support, since the prices were higher than the line, not lower. What is painful about this, of course, is that it sets no lower limit on how long to hold on to the stock. Prices can remain above the trendline all the way to $0, so you might want to apply other criteria to how long you would hang on to the trade (in this instance, you may have put in a stop-loss order just below the lifetime low of the stock, at least assuring you would get something back and not ride the stock all the way to bankruptcy). In fact, such a strategy would have worked well. As you can see, even though the stock continued to fall for a few months after crossing above the trendline, it began to compose itself and started a rise well over 1,000 percent. The patient chartist would have been handsomely rewarded with this position. The importance of how trendlines act as a turncoat (reversing roles) cannot be over-emphasized. A ne example is Figure 7.29, which is the Ultra Short OTC Fund from ProFunds. This is a really interesting mutual

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